Curaçaovs
Trinidad and Tobago
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Curaçao · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Curaçao 1-0 Trinidad and Tobago
Original prediction
Curaçao
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.9% | 53.8% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.9% | 23.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.2% | 23.0% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Curaçao
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Curaçao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80