GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/31/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cuniburo are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while UT Cotopaxi are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuniburoDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
UT CotopaxiLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CuniburoUT Cotopaxi
39.7Attack41.7
73.0Defence78.3
47.6Form61.7
54.3Power62.4
0.58xG0.63
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