Cumnock Juniorsvs
Troon FC
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 9/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cumnock Juniors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumnock Juniors 4-0 Troon FC
Original prediction
Cumnock Juniors
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.3% | 53.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 19.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 27.1% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Cumnock Juniors
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Cumnock Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40