GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/8/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cumberland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cumberland United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while The Cove are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cumberland United hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Cumberland United holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cumberland United

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Cumberland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cumberland UnitedLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
The CoveWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cumberland UnitedThe Cove
54.5Attack43.9
57.6Defence45.5
51.5Form39.4
54.8Power43.7
2.02xG1.01
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