GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/7/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cumberland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cumberland United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.8 against 54.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Cumberland United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cumberland United

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Cumberland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cumberland UnitedDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Adelaide VictoryLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Victory
54.5Attack60.6
57.6Defence48.5
51.5Form54.5
54.8Power54.1
1.85xG1.44
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