Cumbayávs
Santo Domingo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/1/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cumbayá 0-0 Santo Domingo, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbayá 0-3 Santo Domingo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 37.7% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 36.8% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.6% | 25.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Projected Score
Cumbayá 0–0 Santo Domingo
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CumbayáWWLLD
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Santo DomingoLWLWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CumbayáSanto Domingo
40.7Attack28.4
67.9Defence76.5
40.7Form45.7
49.7Power52.0
0.61xG0.50