Cumbayávs
LDU Portoviejo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 8/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cumbayá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cumbayá 0-0 LDU Portoviejo, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbayá 0-0 LDU Portoviejo
Original prediction
Cumbayá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 19:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.9% | 42.9% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.0% | 35.0% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.1% | 22.1% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Cumbayá 0–0 LDU Portoviejo
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Cumbayá
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Cumbayá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CumbayáLDDDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LDU PortoviejoWDDLL
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
CumbayáLDU Portoviejo
33.3Attack25.8
66.7Defence66.7
39.4Form40.9
47.7Power47.1
0.72xG0.47