GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Cumbayá are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.9% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

69.9%

Model confidence

69.9%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CumbayáD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Independiente del ValleWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CumbayáIndependiente del Valle
26.7Attack81.3
56.7Defence68.0
28.9Form85.3
39.6Power78.3
0.49xG2.00
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