Cumbayávs
Gualaceo SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/10/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cumbayá 0-0 Gualaceo SC, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbayá 0-1 Gualaceo SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.1% | 28.8% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 32.4% | 36.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.5% | 34.5% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Cumbayá 0–0 Gualaceo SC
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CumbayáLDLDD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gualaceo SCWWWDL
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
CumbayáGualaceo SC
31.9Attack34.7
66.7Defence77.8
37.5Form48.6
46.7Power54.8
0.47xG0.65