Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie B
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Cumbayá

Cumbayá

Home
DW
00
Full time
9 de Octubre

9 de Octubre

Away
DD
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Cumbayá(53%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Cumbayá
53%
Draw
29%
9 de Octubre
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cumbayá
73
9 de Octubre
18
Defence
Cumbayá
91
9 de Octubre
82
Momentum
Cumbayá
67
9 de Octubre
33
Danger (xG)
Cumbayá
1.80
9 de Octubre
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cumbayá)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (9 de Octubre)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Cumbayá)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (9 de Octubre)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CumbayáCumbayá
DWLD
9 de Octubre9 de Octubre
DD

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Cumbayá53%
Draw29%
9 de Octubre18%

Cumbayá leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cumbayá head into this in Liga Pro Serie B fixture in mixed form (DW), while 9 de Octubre arrive in mixed form (DD). Cumbayá have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for 9 de Octubre over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Cumbayá (91/100) and 9 de Octubre (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Cumbayá have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. 9 de Octubre have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Cumbayá to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Cumbayá 5320%, Draw 2884%, 9 de Octubre 1797%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Cumbayá 0Draws 10 9 de Octubre
Avg goals: 0.0
16 Jul 2026
Cumbayá
D00
9 de Octubre

Recent form

Cumbayá

Cumbayá

D
vs 9 de Octubre
16 Jul 2026
00
W
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L
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D
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9 de Octubre

9 de Octubre

D
@ Cumbayá
16 Jul 2026
00
D
@ LDU Portoviejo
4 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cumbayá vs 9 de Octubre?

GoalVio's model predicts Cumbayá to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs 9 de Octubre?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Cumbayá vs 9 de Octubre?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cumbayá vs 9 de Octubre?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more