GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/21/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cultural Santa Rosa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cultural Santa Rosa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cultural Santa Rosa hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Primera División, while Cultural Santa Rosa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cultural Santa Rosa

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

12.4%

Cultural Santa Rosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cultural Santa RosaWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CristalWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cultural Santa RosaSporting Cristal
49.2Attack52.4
57.1Defence47.6
65.1Form41.3
59.6Power48.6
1.72xG1.18
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