GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/15/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cultural Santa Rosa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 59.6 against 60.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

14.1%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Club Deportivo Los ChankasDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FBC MelgarLDWWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC Melgar
49.2Attack56.7
57.1Defence63.3
65.1Form58.3
59.6Power60.0
1.16xG1.32
View match centre →