GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cultural Santa Rosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cultural Santa Rosa are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cultural Santa Rosa hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Primera División, while Cultural Santa Rosa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cultural Santa Rosa

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

19.4%

Cultural Santa Rosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cultural Santa RosaWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico GrauDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cultural Santa RosaAtletico Grau
49.2Attack23.8
57.1Defence65.1
65.1Form31.7
59.6Power42.3
1.17xG0.57
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