Cultural Leonesavs
Pontevedra
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cultural Leonesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Pontevedra, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cultural Leonesa 1-2 Pontevedra
Original prediction
Cultural Leonesa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.2% | 47.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 28.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.3% | 24.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Cultural Leonesa 1–0 Pontevedra
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Cultural Leonesa
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Cultural Leonesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20