Cultural Leonesavs
Mérida AD
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cultural Leonesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cultural Leonesa 0-0 Mérida AD, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Mérida AD
Original prediction
Cultural Leonesa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.3% | 46.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 31.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.6% | 21.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Cultural Leonesa 0–0 Mérida AD
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Cultural Leonesa
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Cultural Leonesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00