Cultural Leonesavs
CD Coria
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cultural Leonesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cultural Leonesa 2-2 CD Coria
Original prediction
Cultural Leonesa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.0% | 44.1% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 28.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.3% | 27.0% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Cultural Leonesa
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Cultural Leonesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80