Cultural Leonesavs
Arenas Getxo
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cultural Leonesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Arenas Getxo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cultural Leonesa 4-1 Arenas Getxo
Original prediction
Cultural Leonesa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.1% | 54.9% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 26.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.1% | 18.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Projected Score
Cultural Leonesa 1–0 Arenas Getxo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Cultural Leonesa
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Cultural Leonesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60