Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cukaricki · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cukaricki 3-0 Zemun
Original prediction
Cukaricki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.5% | 64.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.6% | 20.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 6.52 | 14.0% | 14.9% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Cukaricki
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Cukaricki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CukarickiDLDLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ZemunLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CukarickiZemun
42.4Attack18.2
39.4Defence33.3
36.4Form9.1
40.3Power23.9
1.92xG0.82