Cukarickivs
Novi Pazar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/12/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cukaricki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cukaricki 1-1 Novi Pazar
Original prediction
Cukaricki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 48.7% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 27.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.1% | 24.3% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Cukaricki
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Cukaricki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80