Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cukaricki · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cukaricki are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Javor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cukaricki hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Super Liga, while Cukaricki holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cukaricki
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Cukaricki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00