Cuiabavs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cuiaba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sport Recife are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00