GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/22/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cuiaba are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuiabaLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
RB BragantinoWWWLL

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CuiabaRB Bragantino
35.1Attack40.9
65.8Defence65.2
44.7Form48.5
49.7Power52.8
0.78xG0.77
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