Cuiabavs
Novorizontino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cuiaba are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Novorizontino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.3% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
30.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00