GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cuiaba are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Novorizontino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.3% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

30.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuiabaDDDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
NovorizontinoWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CuiabaNovorizontino
25.4Attack50.8
74.6Defence68.3
41.3Form52.4
49.5Power57.5
0.51xG0.72
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