Cuiabavs
Nautico Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cuiaba 0-0 Nautico Recife, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cuiaba 3-0 Nautico Recife
Original prediction
Cuiaba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.6% | 41.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.6% | 32.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.8% | 25.7% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Cuiaba 0–0 Nautico Recife
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Cuiaba
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CuiabaDWLWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico RecifeDLWWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CuiabaNautico Recife
32.1Attack41.7
73.8Defence60.7
47.6Form45.2
53.1Power50.7
0.82xG0.59