GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cuiaba are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Metropolitanos FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuiaba hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cuiaba holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cuiaba

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuiabaLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Metropolitanos FCWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CuiabaMetropolitanos FC
45.8Attack0.0
75.0Defence100.0
54.2Form33.3
59.4Power45.3
1.29xG0.64
View match centre →