Serie BSerie B
Thursday, 25 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Cuiaba

Cuiaba

Home
LDW
22
Full time
Londrina

Londrina

Away
DW
Arena Pantanal
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Cuiaba(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Cuiaba
50%
Draw
29%
Londrina
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cuiaba
34
Londrina
94
Defence
Cuiaba
53
Londrina
82
Momentum
Cuiaba
44
Londrina
67
Danger (xG)
Cuiaba
0.82
Londrina
3.13
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cuiaba)
0.82
avg per match
xG for (Londrina)
3.13
avg per match
xG against (Cuiaba)
0.70
avg per match
xG against (Londrina)
1.05
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CuiabaCuiaba
LDWDL
LondrinaLondrina
DWDWL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Cuiaba50%
Draw29%
Londrina22%

Cuiaba leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Cuiaba head into this in Serie B fixture at Arena Pantanal in mixed form (LDW), while Londrina arrive in mixed form (DW). Cuiaba have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Londrina over 2 games.

Tactically, Londrina hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a average Cuiaba defence (53/100), while Cuiaba's attack faces a watertight Londrina backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Cuiaba have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Londrina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Cuiaba have generated 0.82 xG per game recently while conceding 0.70 xG per match. Londrina have generated 1.75 xG per game recently while conceding 2.10 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Cuiaba to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Cuiaba 4960%, Draw 2870%, Londrina 2170%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Cuiaba 0Draws 10 Londrina
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
26 Jun 2026
Cuiaba
D22
Londrina

Recent form

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

L
@ Juventude
17 Jul 2026
02
xG 1.1
D
@ São Bernardo
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.3
W
vs America Mineiro
3 Jul 2026
10
xG 1.1
D
vs Londrina
26 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Avai
21 Jun 2026
01
Londrina

Londrina

D
@ America Mineiro
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.8
W
vs CRB
4 Jul 2026
50
D
@ Cuiaba
26 Jun 2026
22
W
vs Athletic Club
20 Jun 2026
20
L
vs São Bernardo
12 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cuiaba vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts Cuiaba to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Londrina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cuiaba vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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