GGOALVIO

Cuiaba logoCuiabavsDeportivo Garcilaso logoDeportivo Garcilaso

COMPLETED

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cuiaba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuiaba hold a 44.1-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Cuiaba holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cuiaba

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CuiabaWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo GarcilasoDLDDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
CuiabaDeportivo Garcilaso
45.8Attack0.0
75.0Defence33.3
54.2Form0.0
59.4Power15.3
1.55xG0.59
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