Cuiaba leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Cuiaba head into this in Serie B fixture at Arena Pantanal in mixed form (LDW), while Atletico Goianiense arrive in mixed form (L). Cuiaba have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Atletico Goianiense over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Cuiaba's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Atletico Goianiense defence (6/100), while Atletico Goianiense's attack is up against a average Cuiaba backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Cuiaba's favour.

Cuiaba have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Atletico Goianiense have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Cuiaba have generated 0.82 xG per game recently while conceding 0.70 xG per match. Atletico Goianiense have generated 2.88 xG per game recently while conceding 1.49 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Cuiaba and Atletico Goianiense in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Cuiaba to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Cuiaba 4238%, Draw 3030%, Atletico Goianiense 2732%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Cuiaba

L

@ Juventude

17 Jul 2026

0–2

xG 1.1

D

@ São Bernardo

12 Jul 2026

2–2

xG 0.3

W

vs America Mineiro

3 Jul 2026

1–0

xG 1.1

D

vs Londrina

26 Jun 2026

2–2

L

@ Avai

21 Jun 2026

0–1

Atletico Goianiense

L

@ Novorizontino

4 Jul 2026

0–3

W

vs Ponte Preta

28 Jun 2026

2–0

D

@ Sport Recife

19 Jun 2026

1–1

W

@ America Mineiro

9 Jun 2026

2–1

xG 2.9

D

vs Atletico Paranaense

14 May 2026

0–0

Frequently asked questions

Explore more predictions