Cuiabavs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cuiaba 0-0 Athletic Club, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cuiaba 3-0 Athletic Club
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.5% | 37.8% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 30.3% | 35.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 20.2% | 26.9% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Cuiaba 0–0 Athletic Club
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CuiabaLWDWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubWLLLW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CuiabaAthletic Club
29.5Attack39.7
73.1Defence65.4
46.2Form47.4
51.9Power52.2
0.66xG0.59