Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cucuta are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tigres FC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Cucuta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00