Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cucuta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cucuta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cucuta hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Primera A, while Cucuta holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cucuta
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Cucuta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60