CSM Satu Marevs
Metalul Buzău
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalul Buzău · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CSM Satu Mare 0-0 Metalul Buzău, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Satu Mare 0-0 Metalul Buzău
Original prediction
Metalul Buzău
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.94 | 22.9% | 23.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 30.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.3% | 45.9% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
CSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Metalul Buzău
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Metalul Buzău has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80