CSM Satu Marevs
FC Politehnica Timisoara
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Satu Mare 1-1 FC Politehnica Timisoara
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.74 | 15.9% | 21.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 26.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 61.3% | 52.7% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80