CSM Satu Marevs
CS Afumati
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Afumati · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Satu Mare 0-2 CS Afumati
Original prediction
CS Afumati
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.6% | 32.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 29.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 38.1% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
CS Afumati
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
CS Afumati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20