CSM Reşiţavs
FC Bacau
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSM Reşiţa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Reşiţa 0-1 FC Bacau
Original prediction
CSM Reşiţa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 38.4% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 27.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.3% | 34.4% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
CSM Reşiţa
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
CSM Reşiţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00