CSM Reşiţavs
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSM Reşiţa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Reşiţa 2-1 CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Original prediction
CSM Reşiţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.3% | 50.2% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.2% | 25.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.5% | 24.4% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
CSM Reşiţa
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
CSM Reşiţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80