CSM Reşiţavs
Cetatea Suceava
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSM Reşiţa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Reşiţa 0-2 Cetatea Suceava
Original prediction
CSM Reşiţa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.3% | 46.4% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.7% | 26.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.1% | 27.4% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
CSM Reşiţa
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
CSM Reşiţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20