CSM Ramnicu Valceavs
FC Politehnica Timisoara
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Politehnica Timisoara · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0-1 FC Politehnica Timisoara
Original prediction
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.10 | 15.9% | 19.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 25.1% | 24.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 59.0% | 56.6% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
FC Politehnica Timisoara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60