CSM Ramnicu Valceavs
CSM Reşiţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSM Reşiţa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1-2 CSM Reşiţa
Original prediction
CSM Reşiţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.9% | 33.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.8% | 29.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.3% | 37.9% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
CSM Reşiţa
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
CSM Reşiţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80