CSKA Sofiavs
OFI
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 65.7% | 40.6% | -25.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 20.5% | 26.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 6.78 | 13.8% | 33.0% | 19.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40