GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

13.7%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA SofiaWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
CSKA SofiaMaccabi Tel Aviv
53.3Attack66.7
80.0Defence66.7
73.3Form66.7
70.5Power63.5
1.46xG1.08
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