GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/21/2023, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CSKA Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Levski Krumovgrad are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the First League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA SofiaDWLWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Levski KrumovgradWDDDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CSKA SofiaLevski Krumovgrad
55.6Attack42.9
66.7Defence57.1
77.8Form46.7
70.7Power50.4
1.41xG0.91
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