CSKA Sofia IIvs
Sportist Svoge
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CSKA Sofia II 1-0 Sportist Svoge, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Sofia II 1-0 Sportist Svoge
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 63.9% | 62.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 22.8% | 24.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.67 | 13.4% | 13.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
CSKA Sofia II 1–0 Sportist Svoge
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia II
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
CSKA Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00