CSKA Moskva U19vs
Nizhny Novgorod U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moskva U19 5-1 Nizhny Novgorod U19
Original prediction
CSKA Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.5% | 70.8% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.50 | 13.9% | 16.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 16.13 | 5.6% | 12.8% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.5–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moskva U19
Probability
70.8%
Model confidence
70.8%
CSKA Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40