CSKA Moskva U19vs
Fakel U19
COMPLETEDRussia · Youth Championship · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moskva U19 6-1 Fakel U19
Original prediction
CSKA Moskva U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 81.3% | 70.7% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.80 | 13.2% | 16.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 16.13 | 5.5% | 13.0% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moskva U19
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
CSKA Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40