GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moskva U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CSKA Moskva U19 2-0 Akademiya Konoplev U20

Original prediction

CSKA Moskva U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4562.3%60.6%-1.7 pts
Draw4.3320.8%18.4%-2.4 pts
Away5.3017.0%21.0%4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.3–27%

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moskva U19

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

CSKA Moskva U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA Moskva U19WWWLW

GF 20 · GA 10 · avg 4.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Akademiya Konoplev U20WWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
CSKA Moskva U19Akademiya Konoplev U20
100.0Attack70.8
54.2Defence48.6
77.8Form61.1
75.5Power60.1
3.07xG1.74
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