CSKA Moscowvs
Spartak Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moscow 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Original prediction
Spartak Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 31.0% | 29.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.9% | 43.2% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60