CSKA Moscowvs
Rubin
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moscow 1-1 Rubin
Original prediction
CSKA Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 56.5% | 46.3% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 24.3% | 26.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 19.2% | 26.8% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moscow
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00