CSKA Moscowvs
Rodina Moskva
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Moscow 3-0 Rodina Moskva
Original prediction
CSKA Moscow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 67.8% | 72.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.08 | 18.6% | 16.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 6.95 | 13.6% | 11.6% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Moscow
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00