GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/22/2026, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Moscow are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and cSKA Moscow hold a 18.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring CSKA Moscow with 14.3% confidence, a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

14.3%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA MoscowDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LokomotivDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
33.3Attack22.2
77.8Defence66.7
55.6Form22.2
59.1Power40.2
1.27xG0.86
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